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Health and economic effects of increased taxation on tobacco, alcohol, and sugar-sweetened beverages in China - P4H Network

Health and economic effects of increased taxation on tobacco, alcohol, and sugar-sweetened beverages in China

China could achieve major health, economic, and fiscal benefits by increasing taxes on tobacco, alcohol, and sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs). Modelling from 2026–2050 shows that 20% price hikes could prevent about 1.35 million deaths and generate over ¥6.8 trillion in additional revenue, while yielding millions of years of life gained and modest GDP growth. Health and equity gains are strongest among lower-income groups and men. However, fiscal returns decline beyond high tax share thresholds. Strengthened excise taxation on these products presents a powerful, equitable policy opportunity for improved health and economic outcomes in China

Reference
Tiange Chen, Jinyi Zhu, Sian Tsuei, Yunyun Jiang, Yunting Zheng, Duo Xu, Hongqiao Fu, Health and economic effects of increased taxation on tobacco, alcohol, and sugar-sweetened beverages in China, Lancet Public Health , 09 Nov 2025